If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
117
7kṀ30k2027
81%
chance
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This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027. Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A.
May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements. See here for the market on if Biden wins:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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