Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election?
17
Ṁ1kṀ2.1k2028
68%
Labor
23%
Liberal
6%
One Nation
1%
Nationals
1%
Greens
1%
Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.
Only the party of the prime minister is relevant, even if a coalition forms government.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will succeed Albo as PM?
Will Australia get a new Prime Minister in 2026?
6% chance
Prime Minister of Australia at the end of 2027
2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner
Which MPs will be reëlected at the next Australian federal election?
Leader of the National Party of Australia at the next federal election
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Next non-Labor Prime Minister of Australia
Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?
20% chance