MANIFOLD
Who will win Masters Season 33?
28
Ṁ5kṀ51k
Feb 2
99%
Brad

Resolves to the winner of Masters league season 33.

https://manifold.markets/leagues/33/masters/galactic-yetis

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wait im so cooked

this market is unranked so the arbitrage will win me mana but lose me mana gain in the manifold league

What am I missing? Jack is way ahead?

@PaperBoy Depends how Shutdown Jan 31 market resolves. Brad has a big yes position. If resolves yes he’ll win

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 so this is an arbitrage opportunity??? lol

sold Ṁ578 YES

@jatloe yay I scored 80 mana from it

@Jack1 insider trading, ban this man

@Simon74fe whats up with everyone betting up seminotic rivalry?

bought Ṁ50 YES

@prismatic My position is a slight hedge if the Iranian regime market makes a big move in Semiotic’s direction.

@ChadCotty when a single trade is worth 10x my account value 😭

@prismatic semiotic is this websites #1 😭 😂

bought Ṁ74 YES

@Mochi once again a believer for another szn

@prismatic the Maerck question NAing really set me bakc 🫠

@Mochi yeah its unfortunate, not feeling too confident on bayesian either rn 😭

@Mochi there's always next szn tho trust

+ next next szn ill prbly make masters!!

boughtṀ50 NO

@brod wanna bet more at 33%?

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 34% order

@Bayesian orders up. i have never heard of adverse selection

filled a Ṁ1,000 YES at 34% order

@brod no adverse selection I just believe in myself

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 34% order

@Bayesian inb4 mochi smokes us both

@brod i mean that's the default, he was previously working at 2% of his true power. also he's a BOT!

opened a Ṁ50 YES at 2% order

stacked roster this season

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