Government shutdown for more than 5 days in Q1 2026?
45
Ṁ10kṀ17kMar 31
66%
chance
5
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES iff the US federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse in appropriations for strictly greater than five consecutive days in Q1 2026. A day counts if it is between January 1st and March 31st 2026, and a notice of a shutdown is present on this OPM page at 10am ET that day. Only the first shutdown in this range counts. If there are no shutdowns, this market resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Government shutdown in January 2026?
78% chance
US government shutdown by January 31st 2026?
80% chance
Government is shutdown in February 2026?
79% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2026?
83% chance
Will a shutdown during 2026 become the longest?
26% chance
Government shutdown by EOY 2026?
82% chance
Government shutdown in 2026?
83% chance
[ACX 2026] How many days will the US government be shutdown in 2026?
27
People are also trading
Related questions
Government shutdown in January 2026?
78% chance
US government shutdown by January 31st 2026?
80% chance
Government is shutdown in February 2026?
79% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2026?
83% chance
Will a shutdown during 2026 become the longest?
26% chance
Government shutdown by EOY 2026?
82% chance
Government shutdown in 2026?
83% chance
[ACX 2026] How many days will the US government be shutdown in 2026?
27