I talked to a journalist about forecasting / prediction markets a couple months ago and I think the piece will be running soon, potentially with a quote from me.

If I regret doing so, this will resolve YES. If I do not regret it, this resolves NO.

If the piece doesn't run by the end of the year, or the piece does run but I'm not mentioned at all, even in the aggregate, this will resolve to 50%.

This will in all likelihood resolve earlier than the end of the year, probably within the next few weeks.