This resolves YES if, by the end of 2026, Congress passes a bill with sweeping deregulatory measures, such as those recommended by DOGE.

-Must be signed into law by the president. If it has passed Congress by the end of 2026 but hasn't been signed by the president yet, I will wait to see if it signed or vetoed, and resolve accordingly.

-Does not have to explicitly be the measures recommended by DOGE.

-I will be the judge of what constitutes "sweeping". Needs to be government-wide (at least a few agencies), and must follow the spirit of the question. The intention of the bill should be eliminating large numbers of "regulations", broadly speaking.

-Still could count if it's part of another larger/different bill (so that it can pass via reconciliation, for example).

-If there's some sort of extreme gray area, I may resolve to a PROB, such as 50%.

Since this question has the potential to be subjective, I will not bet in this market!

• Update 2025-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Broad Deregulation Requirement

  • The bill must be broad and target deregulation across multiple agencies or large sectors of the federal bureaucracy.

Narrow or Targeted Measures

• Actions that are limited to one or two agencies or specific measures (e.g., increasing defense production focused on countering specific issues) should be resolved as a NO.