US government shutdown on October 1st 2026?
16
Ṁ1kṀ653Sep 30
46%
chance
1H
6H
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ALL
Resolves YES iff the US Office of Personnel Management announces a federal government shutdown (including a partial shutdown) due to a lapse in appropriations on the operating status page by 11:59pm ET on October 1st, 2026.
(stole criteria from @brod's market)
NOTE: This market is asking about the gov shutdown for government funding due to expire on Sep 31, 2026. The DHS partial shutdown in Feb 2026 is not relevant for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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