Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
28
Ṁ282Ṁ3k2030
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
*at least partial control, if they have full control, that counts too, of course
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
9% chance
Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
6% chance
By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
4% chance
By the end of the Ukraine war Crimea will be a part of Ukraine again?
9% chance
Control over Crimea in 2035
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
68% chance
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
17% chance
Will Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
7% chance