Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ210Ṁ501

2027

chance

ALL

Will my Ukrainian friend die in the war in Ukraine?

He recently joined an Azov artillery unit.

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@benjaminIkuta Status update boop?

@Quroe now a signals and electronic warfare specialist. Currently recovering from an injury.

He's still doing well

did he

@jacksonpolack not so far

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-my-ukrainian-artillery-friend-di

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/if-my-ancap-friend-goes-to-fight-in

Odds of a soldier dying are less than 1 in 3, I think. Absent further information I’m going to bet “no” and hope to win :)

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