Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034? | Manifold

Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034?

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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algeria%E2%80%93Morocco_relations

Border skirmishes count as wars if there's more than a dozen dead.

Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Western Sahara-related clashes at the Algeria border to count: both the Moroccan and Algerian governments must be involved in some capacity.

It has to be soldiers (of some kind) vs soldiers, not just people with guns killing civilians.

Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For clashes involving non-state militias: the militia must be backed by the government to count toward resolution.

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do clashes which are part of the Western Sahara freedom movement but geographically take place at the Algeria border count? Sounds like they do based on the description.

@Hakari The two countries governments have to be involved in some capacity.

@asmith how about just one country's govt forces vs a non-state militia on the other side?

@Hakari The militia would have to be backed by the government.

What a sandy part of the world the non-northern parts of Algeria are.

What counts as a war? Does a military action count or do they have to "declare" war?

@BlackCrusade I have added some detail to the description.

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