Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will the Magic the Gathering movie get over 85% on Rotten Tomatoes? Critics score.
5
Ṁ100Ṁ74
2032
27%
chance

Resolves a week after wide release

Will extend if no film at close date.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

What happens to the market if the close date comes and there is no such film

Also, how do we determine if a released film is "the Magic the Gathering movie" referenced by this market

@marvingardens I think it'll be clear which is the MTG movie. I'll extend if there's no movie at close date.

@asmith Scenario: A popular independent documentary about Magic The Gathering is released. Is that the Magic the Gathering movie

@marvingardens It is not

@asmith Scenario: A WotC or MTG account posts an unprecedented 20-minute animated cinematic on YouTube. Is that the Magic the Gathering movie

@asmith ok so like can you construct some rules that would allow us to evaluate novel scenarios

@marvingardens I don't predict that there will be any confusion. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magic:_The_Gathering#Film

@asmith your market doesn't have any rules or guidelines by which we would evaluate, for example, the two examples I gave above. I could keep producing examples and I don't know what your answers to them will be.