How many of the core six 2026 Senate races will Democrats win (AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX)?
14
Ṁ1kṀ3.7kJan 1
5.72 seats
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.6%
0
0.9%
1
1.1%
2
1.1%
3
1.3%
4
10%
5
85%
6
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to the integer (from 0 to 6) representing the total number of the six specified 2026 U.S. Senate races won by the Democratic Party nominee.
The six core races are:
Alaska (Class II)
Iowa (Class II)
Maine (Class II)
Michigan (Class II)
Ohio (Class III Special Election)
Texas (Class II)
Resolution will be determined based on reporting from each state's election officials or a consensus of credible media outlets.
As resolution is unlikely to be ambiguous, I may trade in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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