Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033? | Manifold

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?

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2032

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Same concept of previously created market - but on longer timeframe: 10 years

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Related questions

Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?

Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?

[Metaculus] Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?

China produces 3nm chips before 2027?

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Will TSMC exceed Nvidia in market capitalization at any point before 2032?

Will the US be able to prop up its domestic semiconductor industry in a way that rivals China's -- not including Taiwan -- in the next five years?

[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?