Will an AI ballot measure in any state be endorsed in a Scott Alexander post by the 2026 elections?
Plus
6
Ṁ4602027
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there is a statewide ballot measure about AI that is endorsed by Scott Alexander in an Astral Codex Ten post. Endorsements in other places do not count. Resolves the day before the 2026 midterm elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
49% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
22% chance
Will I vote for Scott Alexander in the 2024 general presidential election?
16% chance
Will there be evidence by the end of 2024 of AI having a significant impact on the outcome of any political election?
21% chance
Will Scott Alexander judge a specific candidate movie to resolve his 2028 AI movie market?
66% chance
Will any AI or algorithm be elected as a state official by 2040 with 10.000 or more votes?
33% chance
Will Scott Alexander endorse Joe Biden in 2024?
1% chance
Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?
32% chance
Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?
Will Scott Alexander make a 6+ digit bet related to COVID, by EOY 2024?
8% chance