MANIFOLD
By EOY 2024, will it be publicly known that ARC found any model to be able to survive and spread?
23
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
resolved Feb 20
Resolved
NO

As in, will it be known that ARC did their dangerous capability eval on some model (from whoever that model might come) and found that model capable of spreading and surviving?

Only counts if it's publicly known.

If there are public rumors not confirmed by ARC or model trainer org, I will resolve based on my personal credence that they're credible.

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didn't do an extremely thorough research but:

- had it happened i expect i'd have heard
- market says probably no
- chatgpt deep research didn't find anything either (dont @ me bro)

-> resolve NO

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