Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends? | Manifold

Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends?

Plus

53

Ṁ13k

Jan 2

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

After the creation of this market, only.

The market in question:

The market must stay under 10% for over 75% of a time period of 12 hrs to prevent transient spikes from counting.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

i accidentally resolved this thinking it was about by 2024, when it is about by the end of 2024. Re-opening

predictedYES

@firstuserhere Should this market also reopen then?

@ScipioFabius thanks! I had totally missed it

Other meta markets

Related questions

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

+4% 1d28% chance

Will we get AGI before 2028?

+8% 1d41% chance

Will we get AGI before 2025?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

-6% 1d56% chance

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

+5% 1d49% chance

Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go above 60% before 2024 ends?

Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before end of 2025" market go above 50% before the end of 2024?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

+5% 1d72% chance

Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?

Related questions

Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?

Will we get AGI before 2029?

Will we get AGI before 2028?

Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go above 60% before 2024 ends?

Will we get AGI before 2025?

Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before end of 2025" market go above 50% before the end of 2024?

Will we get AGI before 2030?

Will we get AGI before 2035?

Will we get AGI before 2036?

Will a high-volume prediction market expect OpenAI to create AGI before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules