Please clarify "The next big model that OpenAI that's the successor to GPT-4, whatever its called." Is this market about GPT-4.5 (just released, plausible claimant to that description) or GPT-5 (speculated to be released in ~two months, the model named in the market title)?

Edit: Oh, market creator's account is deleted. What now?

Which GPT-4 and which GPT-5? Initial release of both?

It seems that OpenAI sometimes makes models with different parameter counts available as different versions of the same external name. For example, it looks like GPT-4o just shrunk.

The scaling laws still matter. Sort of.

if i know one thing about ilya sutskever, it's that he loves adding parameters

@brubsby But he is lost