
Will any foundation model score 75 or higher on The Foundation Model Transparency Index by the end of 2024? (LLama2: 54)
20
Ṁ1kṀ12kDec 31
96%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The top-scoring model scores only 54 out of 100. No major foundation model developer is close to providing adequate transparency, revealing a fundamental lack of transparency in the AI industry.

There are 100 indicators that determine this score:

Read more: https://crfm.stanford.edu/fmti/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?
71% chance
Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?
72% chance
Will a LLM trained with FP4 have frontier-level performance before 2028?
31% chance
