The 98th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 15th, 2026—will honor movies released in 2025.
Each movie that wins at least one competitive Oscar (there are expected to be 24 such categories in 2026) resolves YES.
This market may close before the ceremony.
OSCARS 2026 DASHBOARD
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@traders Wicked received 0 noms, so it can resolve NO early (unexpected!).
I have added the other films with multiple noms:
F1 (4 noms)
Blue Moon (2 noms)
Sirat (2 noms)
LMK if I missed any (I don't plan to add new films with a single nomination—those are well covered by the category-specific market).
@Ziddletwix (and even though several of these films may only be truly contending in a single category, IIUC, seems like every remaining film in this market has multiple noms! that required some mild surprises to be true, like Avatar sneaking into costumes)
@Tripping added. i originally left it out because i tried to avoid options that were equivalent to the result of a single category (e.g., i won't add random documentaries). but avatar 3 has at least a plausible shot to get other noms, so i added it for completeness (even though its probability here is basically equivalent to its vfx odds).