Pete Hegseth out by EOY?
25
Ṁ1.5kṀ2.1kDec 31
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Resolves YES if according to a consensus of credible reporting (at any point before EOY 2026), Pete Hegseth is no longer serving as Secretary of War. Resolves NO otherwise.
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Market was 68% when I bet; I've got it ~48%. Polymarket's much bigger market on this is at 49-50%, and the jump here came from one large buy. Trump said Nov 4 he's doing a great job; the pressure (Massie's impeachment threat) is real, so a coin flip, not 68%. https://abcnews.com/Politics/trump-dismisses-prospect-replacing-hegseth-amid-iran-war/story?id=137852219
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