Will the next president be a republican? | Manifold

Will the next president be a republican?

21

Ṁ150Ṁ350

2028

40%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on the president elected in the next US elections only. It does not resolve YES if a Vice President assumes the presidency due to incapacitation.

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opened a Ṁ3 YES at 46% order

Does this include the vice president becoming president due to the president being incapacitated?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@4fa no, only the president elected in the next US elections

@yogevOved What if there is no election?

@JoaoFonsaka unlikely but in that case the leader of the nation would be either former democrat or republican

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Related questions

Will the next president be impeached?

When will a Republican next be elected President of the United States

Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?

Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?

Will the next president be a black guy??

Will the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

When will a non-Republican candidate next win the presidency of the US?

Will trump be president next year?

If X is the Republican nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

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