MANIFOLD
Will Max Verstappen win 4 of the opening 10 races of the 2026 F1 Season?
19
Ṁ100Ṁ710
Jun 30
11%
chance

Austria is the 10th round of the 2026 Season. With the cancellation of Bahrain and Saudi Arabia this market will now resolve at the end of the Belgian Grand Prix 2 races later.

Or if it becomes mathematically impossible for Verstappen to win 4 based on the number of remaining races until Belgium.

  • Update 2026-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on the first 10 races that actually take place, not the originally scheduled 10 races. With Bahrain and Saudi Arabia cancelled, the 10th race is now Belgium.

Market context
Formula 1
Auto Racing
Motorsports
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Does the definition of opening 10 races change with 2 being cancelled?

@Fedor I'll resolve this after the first 10 races that take place - so in this case Belgium, unless other races are cancelled in the interim.

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