Given Trump becoming president in 2025, will the 25th Amendment be among the Top 5 most discussed laws in 2025?

3

Ṁ100Ṁ60

resolved Jan 3

Resolved

NO

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6H

1D

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1M

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Gary Marcus seems to think so: https://sigmoid.social/@garymarcus/113419753807009434

Market context

Republican Party

2024 US Presidential Election

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Given all the stuff that happened with the government shutdown and the various AI policies, I strongly suspect this will resolve no, but I have asked Gary as promised. If he doesn't respond in a reasonable amount of time, I'll resolve without him.

@WilliamGunn No response and not anticipating one (responding to all the people asking for updates on his predictions that didn't come to pass would be almost a full-time job).

What metric?

@CraigDemel I'll take the cue from Gary.

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What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

If Donald Trump is elected in 2024, will the constitution be Amended during his presidency by January 20, 2029?

Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?

Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?

Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?

Will the US pass or change a constitutional amendment in Trump's second term?

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Related questions

What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?

If Donald Trump is elected in 2024, will the constitution be Amended during his presidency by January 20, 2029?

Will the 25th Amendment be invoked as to transfer presidential authority from Trump?

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked before Inauguration Day 2029?

Will the next President [Trump] be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 during the 2025-2029 term?

Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?

Will Section 4 of the 25th Amendment be invoked against Donald Trump by his VP and cabinet during his second term?

Will the US pass or change a constitutional amendment in Trump's second term?

Will we know Trump had at least one stroke in 2025 by the end of 2027?

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