Will I get COVID by June 9?
9
10kṀ793May 20
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Vaccination history:
10/2021 Pfizer
04/2022 Moderna
08/2022 COVID infection
10/2022 Moderna bivalent
10/2023 Moderna updated booster
02/2025 COVID infection
I go out to bars/dances like 6 nights a week and take the subway. I don't wear a mask. I currently don't intend to get a booster shot by June 9.
The weekend of May 25 I intend to go to a several-hundred-person indoor contra dance for multiple days. Unless I get COVID.
Update 2025-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they will not test for COVID unless they have symptoms.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@WilliamEhlhardt Are you going to be testing even if you're asymptomatic? Given that you're vaxxed, you could still easily get a mild case.