When will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack? | Manifold

When will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack?

4

Ṁ150Ṁ211

2032

September 20, 2029

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

44%

Before 2028

71%

Before 2029

80%

Before 2030

83%

Before 2031

87%

Before 2032

13%

2032 or later or never

Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.

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