This market will resolve PROB, where PROB is [(first weigh-in I make in 2025, in lbs) - 160lbs]. For example, if I weigh in at 205lbs, this market resolves to 45%.

If I weigh >260lbs, resolves YES. If <160lbs, NO. If I'm dead, resolves N/A.

Here's a ~realtime graph of my weight: https://www.beeminder.com/glorkmod/weight.png

Possibly relevant information (as of market creation):

• taking semaglutide 1.5mg/week

• weightlifting 2x/week

• 36 years old, male, 5'11"