Will Trump receive at least 45% of the nonwhite vote in 2024?
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Jan 1
8%
chance

Based on the infographic in this post: https://www.natesilver.net/p/democrats-are-hemorrhaging-support

Considering only the two-party vote. I think Catalist is the best source for demographic breakdowns after the election, as exit polls have high margins of error.

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interesting market with a lot of liquidity

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