Will Pokemon Legends: Z-A take place before or after the events of X and Y?
Will Pokemon Legends: Z-A take place before or after the events of X and Y?
14
200Ṁ1967
Apr 2
After96%

Pokémon Legends: Z-A, to be released in 2025, has been announced to take place in Kalos's Lumiose City, during an "urban redevelopment plan." Will the events of this game take place before or after the events of Pokémon X and Y?

If there are parts of the game which take place before and parts which take place after, this market will resolve 50/50. Only portions of the game which have gameplay are counted for this; a cutscene of a past/future time period at the beginning or end of the game is not sufficient.

I will not bet on this market.

Video Games
Pokemon
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!


Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 NO1mo

Very likely to be the future, since new trailer emphasizes a "high tech redevelopment plan" for Lumiose City and AZ has his Floette back, which he only reconnected with at the end of X and Y. I suppose there could be a snippet or two of past gameplay but it seems unreasonable to resolve 50/50 based on just that.

1y

I'm so so SO confident in my guess that the actual game will have a bit of both.

How would you resolve this market in that scenario?

1y

@PaintspotInfez Oh, good question! I've updated the description to say that if there's both, the market will resolve 50/50.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules