MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election?
55
Ṁ3.7kṀ11k
2033
41%
Other
8%
Gavin Newsom
8%
J.D. Vance
7%
Marco Rubio
4%
Tulsi Gabbard
3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
3%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Kamala Harris
2%
No one
1.9%
Jon Ossoff
1.8%
Ted Cruz
1.7%
Nikki Haley
1.6%
Ron DeSantis
1.4%
Michelle Obama
1.4%
Cory Booker

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2032 United States presidential election.

If no presidential election is held in the United States in 2032, this market shall resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.

Market context
Politics
US Politics
United States
Elections
Global Macro
Future US Presidents
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bought Ṁ10 YES

Is an entry for Donald Trump Sr. allowed or will it be deleted?

@PoliticalEconomyPK He was born in Uganda. He can't run for president unless something massively changes

@Marnix guess we'll have to see then

bought Ṁ30 YES

Is it not possible to resolve the [will resolve NO] entries early? It feels like they should totally make that possible if it isn't already possible for this kind of market

@PaintspotInfez Sadly, it's currently impossible to do this. Hopefully mods will add it soon. This market gives it a 29% chance to be implemented by the end of March, so we can hope 🤞

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