Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.

Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.

• Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:

  • Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.

  • Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.