(AGI programmer automation) Will my market comp be <3x a median construction worker in April 2025.
7
Ṁ130Ṁ456resolved May 26
Resolved
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This is about whether next-gen models will be so good I don't have value doing intellectual labor. I'm a skilled programmer working as an AI researcher, see https://thume.ca/
Resolves based on my wages vs BLS numbers regardless of why. Currently >5x and I don't work at my highest cash comp opportunity.
Counts only cash and bonus compensation. If my current job doesn't pay enough I'm allowed to resolve this by asking companies I've worked at before whether they'd hire me back and friends there what they think I'd earn (mainly imagining Jane Street), or getting an offer letter.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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