Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?
5
100Ṁ1172026
77%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Jerome Powell remains chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System such that when January 20th, 2026 (marking 1 full year of the second Trump presidency) has ended in all US timezones, he is still the chair, then this market resolves YES.
If he ceases to be chair at any point on or before this date, this market will resolve NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
4% chance
Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Will Jamie Dimon cease to be CEO of JPMorgan Chase before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
10% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?
5% chance
Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?
12% chance
Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?
11% chance
Will the Federal Reserve exist and retain it's current level of independence by the end of Trump's term.
49% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?
60% chance