How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will California lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
5
Ṁ420Ṁ1.1k2031
44%
Lose more than 2
19%
Lose 2
22%
Lose 1
8%
No Change
4%
Gain 1
2%
Gain more than 1
The number of seats each state has in the United States House of Representatives is determined according to the most recent decennial census, as mandated by the US Constitution.
The next census is in 2030. This market will resolve to the outcome that corresponds to the amount of seats that the state has gained or lost following reapportionment based on the results of that census.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
How many House seats do the Democrats flip in 2026?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
54% chance
How many House seats do the Republicans flip in 2026?
How many Democratic Representatives will CA elect in 2026?
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
How many seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will Texas lose/gain after the next U.S. census?
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
Will CA redistrict, and what will be the result?
Who will win California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2026?