MANIFOLD
Will the top company by market cap be at least five times larger than the next largest company by the end of 2027?
8
Ṁ1kṀ2.8k
2028
10%
chance

Background: This market attempts to measure whether AI will be winner-take-all.

Market context
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opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 10% order

@jim It's not really worth it to put much into this if you're not willing to go higher than 5%. I can go down to 10% though.

bought Ṁ5 YES

@TimothyJohnson5c16 do you want to leave a long-term (say, one month) order up at 10%?

opened a Ṁ5,000 NO at 10% order

@jim Sure, done!

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