🏅 Top traders

I predict I will leave these kinds of markets to you hotshots. Got rightly screwed here ;)

@TimmyJeffry resolves no!

@mods Last user activity appears to be over a week ago. Is that enough for you to do the resolving?

Damn, bradbot went hard in the last few seconds.

@BoltonBailey *last 0.5 seconds :)

aaagh i tried to put a 60k limit order at the last second but there was an error message for some reason

@Robincvgr We need more practice, lol

@vdb orders placed from the web UI seem to be really inconsistent on how long they take to go through. i hit the button a few hundred ms away from close which usually goes through, but not this time

@Robincvgr i suspect i effectively DDOS’d this market for the last second

@brod i would've put my limit order in with one or two full seconds to spare, but i was expecting you to do that from your main account again which has a lot more liquid mana than me lol

if i had predicted it coming from bradbot i wouldve put my limit order in earlier and just absorbed it all lol

@brod Surely you planned it.

@brod This sort of thing is why I like to buy at T-3 seconds. Bit too fast for humans to react, but comfortable on the api processing.

@BoltonBailey T-3 seconds is absolutely not too fast for humans to react lol

@Robincvgr I guess if they are just hovering over the button making a buy/not buy decision, but I feel it would be hard to read the amount I had ordered and my probability and calculate what's optimal in that time.

@Robincvgr wouldn’t have worked, i transferred bradbot 150k for one minute then transferred it back. literally calculated how much i would need to eat 60k at 40% (plus buffer) expecting you to do this

@brod oof lol

@Robincvgr I suspect @BoltonBailey also played some role in the plan.

@Robincvgr I am disappointed in you.

The "Yes" answer seems more profitable in terms of return rates, right?

To keep above 40%, just buy "Yes" at 40%, with >1 return rate. If the percentage goes over 70%, one can just sell to make guaranteed profit.

On the contrary, to push below 40%, one has to buy "No" at 40%, with <1 return rate. Or to push above 70%, one has to buy "Yes" at 70%, again with <1 return rate.

Hopefully more people join the more profitable side.

Lesson learned (third time's the charm): there is always a bigger whale

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