Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) become an MP by 2030?
10
แน100แน3152029
20%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
3% chance
Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?
Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
22% chance
If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
92% chance
Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) win the 2026 Clacton by-election?
7% chance
Will Count Binface earn back his deposit (get >=5% of the vote) in the Clacton by-election?
99% chance
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
3% chance
If Count Binface wins in Clacton in 2026, will Nigel Farage be in parliament a year later?
30% chance
What % of the vote will Count Binface get in Clacton in 2026?
11.2