Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
11
Ṁ150Ṁ505
2029
40%
Labour
15%
Conservatives
1.9%
Liberal Democrats
35%
Reform
4%
Green
4%
Other

Market context
Politics
Elections
UK
Elections: World
UK Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

There is some complex arbitrage more than likely possible, but way too complex for my pay grade

People are also trading

What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2030?
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2027?
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from?
Who will be the UK Prime Minister on 1 January 2027?
Who will be Prime Minister of Canada on 1 Jan 2030?
[Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
35% chance
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Which two parties will get the most seats in Parliament following the next UK general election after 2025?