If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026? | Manifold

If the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?

29

Ṁ100Ṁ1.4k

Dec 31

14%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the US does not strike Iran before July 1, 2026.

Market context

Israel-Iran Conflict

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