If Count Binface wins in Clacton in 2026, will Nigel Farage be in parliament a year later?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ942030
30%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if Count Binface doesn't win in Clacton. Otherwise, one year after the date of the 2026 Clacton by-election, resolves YES if Nigel Farage is in Parliament in any seat, and NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election?
97% chance
What percentage of the vote will Count Binface win in the Clacton by-election?
Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election?
22% chance
Which party will win the Clacton by-election?
Who will come third place in the Clacton by-election?
Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
3% chance
Will Count binface get under or over 25% of the vote in the Clacton by election?
If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
92% chance
Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) win the 2026 Clacton by-election?
7% chance