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How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ1.4k
2027
13%
Liberal democracy
80%
Electoral democracy
6%
Electoral autocracy
0.6%
Closed autocracy

Resolves at the classification of the United States according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.

Currently, the United States is classed as a liberal democracy, as it has been since 1969.

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Why was this un-resolved?

@ChurlishGambit I misread the year, this is the market for democracy 2026 (which will be published in next year's V-DEM report)

@Tetraspace Very confusing title

bought Ṁ200 NO

V-Dem's published their report: https://v-dem.net/documents/75/V-Dem_Institute_Democracy_Report_2026_lowres.pdf

The US is listed as "Electoral Democracy"

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How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2025?
97% chance
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Will the Economist Intelligent Unit stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
17% chance
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
44% chance
USA's 2025 Economist Democracy Index score?
7.26
Which country will be ranked #1 in the Economist's 2025 Democracy Index?
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