10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2025?
4
1kṀ425Dec 31
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
If it is 4.5% or greater, this market resolves as YES
Otherwise it resolves to NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
10-year US treasuries yield >10% any time before 2026
3% chance
10yr treasury yield hits 5.5% by EOY2025?
27% chance
Will the 10 year treasury yield be higher on May 30, 2025 than on December 31, 2024?
78% chance
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fall below 3.5% before July 28, 2025?
14% chance
Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?
33% chance
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30, 2025?
16% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
59% chance
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury note exceed 4.5% at any point before July 28, 2025?
52% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
79% chance