NFL Week 15 - Prop Bets
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Plus
30
Ṁ34k
Jan 4
99%
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
98.8%
80+ Yard Score
98.1%
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
78%
Josh Allen MVP Odds Improve By 12/18 (Currently: -400)
71%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
51%
Team change in top 6 super bowl favorites by 12/18 (Lions, Chiefs, Bills, Eagles, Ravens, Vikings)
50%
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
50%
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
48%
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
46%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
45%
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
33%
35% or higher Kick Return rate
33%
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game
30%
A 4th and 11+ is converted*
26%
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
18%
A game goes into overtime
17%
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number
17%
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
10%
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
9%
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Fifteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Add your own props related to Week Fifteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Fifteen finishes, but not later than that.

Other Week 14 Props:

Other Week 15 Markets

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@StopPunting even if the Falcons lose to the Raiders (lol), it'll still be 3-2 birds and 1-3 cats.

bought Ṁ1,072 YES

@StopPunting
Concinati Joe Burrow

bought Ṁ1,158 YES

@StopPunting

davante adams

josh allen

jared goff

amon ra st brown

mike evans

lamar jackson

brian thomas jr

quentin johnston

sam laporta

jayden daniels

xavier worthy

devontez walker

all 26 covered

bought Ṁ303 YES

@StopPunting Texans vs dolphins, first drive of the 3rd quarter

@StopPunting the Niners were 3-point favorites against the Rams and, for reasons I cannot quite divine, the Panthers were 2.5-point favorites against the Cowboys.

@StopPunting the NFC North and West have division games so they can't have this or 0-4. The Commanders won and the Giants lost, so no NFC E. The NFC S can still go 0-4.

In the AFC, the Jets beat the Jags and the Texans beat the Dolphins, so neither division can do it. Cincinnati won and Cleveland lost, so neither can the AFC North. The Chiefs won, so the AFC W can still go 4-0.

Edit: the Bucs beat the Chargers, so no divisions can go 4-0 or 0-4.

@StopPunting as of the first window, the highest so far is 7 (Ravens 35-14 Giants, Chiefs 21-7 Browns).

bought Ṁ1,072 YES

@StopPunting Saints. (Then they got stopped on the two point conversion and lost)

bought Ṁ367 YES

@StopPunting Jets drive started with 1:51

bought Ṁ967 YES

@StopPunting Geno Stone for the Bengals

bought Ṁ398 YES

@StopPunting Lamar Jackson

@StopPunting Davante Adams as the Jets score 23 and 25.

@StopPunting Bengals led 24-14 at Tennessee

@AaronSimansky Dolphins kicker Sanders misses after Dolphins score their first TD.

@StopPunting Derek Carr Replacement #1 replaced by Derek Carr Replacement #2

@StopPunting G. Stone picked Will Levis for a Bengals TD.

bought Ṁ32 YES

@StopPunting the Jets fake-punted against the Jags, in what'll probably be the highlight of that game

reposted

Props added for Week 15!

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