2025-26 NFL Season - Week Seventeen
*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
No Injury
If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs
Fat Guy Touchdown
A player that would be considered fat scores a TD
All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)
Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)
Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)
A 4th and 11+ is converted
First downs as the result of penalties do not count
This logic applies similar to any other prop like this
"(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play
Top 5 Super Bowl favorites
If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%
Will a championship belt change teams?
There are unique 3 Championship Belts currently in play
In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds
Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!
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@StopPunting The only one I see is Geno Smith sprained his ankle at the end of the game and is not expected to play week 18, which I suppose makes it season-ending.
@bigmike It's only counting defensive interceptions, see the discussion here: https://manifold.markets/StopPunting/nfl-week-6-prop-bets#dobx7oq44iq
The wording does seem ambiguous, but it would be yes almost every week if it included passing interceptions.
I think Chase Young does not qualify as a Fat Guy but that was a great strip&score
https://www.instagram.com/p/DLszwyEuZHy/