Resolves based on the peak season result for an NFL quarterback during their career. A players resolves either when they retire or win the super bowl. Resolution occurs as follows based on the team's peak performance:
100% - Starts and Wins Super Bowl
80% - Starts Super Bowl
60% - Starts Conference Championship
40% - Starts Divisional Round
20% - Starts Wildcard Round
0% - Never Make Playoffs
Each player in question must start the game to qualify (take the first offensive snap).
Tenure as of creation is taken into account (i.e. Joe Burrow will resolve at at least 80%, Josh Allen will resolve at at least 60%, Mason Rudolph will resolve at least 20% as of the end of the 2024/25 season).
Returning from retirement can count as it's own tenure, but won't change any past results.
If the NFL folds (or inherently changes in an extreme way where all the coaches are removed/change at the same time), then all quarterbacks will resolve at their previous peak.
This questions is everlasting, I will add new quarterbacks each draft cycle.
Head Coach Survivor Pools:
Manifold Scouts
Update 2026-01-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To qualify for starting a Conference Championship, a quarterback must take the first offensive snap in that game. Simply being on the roster or being the team's starting quarterback during that round is not sufficient if they did not start that specific game.
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