This market assesses the likelihood of either Israel or Iran deploying a large scale biological weapon, electromagnetic pulse (EMP) weapon or a dirty bomb before December 31, 2025. An EMP attack involves detonating a nuclear device at high altitude to disrupt electronic systems, while a dirty bomb combines conventional explosives with radioactive material to contaminate areas. Recent escalations, including Israel's Operation Rising Lion targeting Iranian nuclear facilities and Iran's retaliatory missile strikes, have heightened concerns about unconventional warfare tactics. Resolution will be based on credible reports from international news agencies confirming such an event. Source: AP News