Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?
17
Ṁ1kṀ1.4k2031
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.extropic.ai/future
Ushering in the Thermodynamic Future

by an AI model, I mean any AI model that is "mainstream"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
60% chance
How fast will you be able to train a GPT-2-level AI on a consumer GPU in 2030?
609
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
45% chance
Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?
80% chance
xAI announces own ASIC/XPU for AI workloads by March 31, 2026?
17% chance
Will Extropic AI be worth at least $100 million before 2028?
16% chance
Will Extropic AI ever have more than 100m revenue in a year through mid 2029?
6% chance
Is thermodynamic computing vaporware?
88% chance
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
25% chance
When will Extropic AI ship a product?