Best Open Weight LLM by EOY 2025 (by company/organization)
29
1kṀ16532026
2%
Mistral
47%
Deepseek
14%
Meta
0.4%
Yi
0.9%
ModelBest
19%
Qwen
17%
The top 1, 2, 3 resolve to 50-30-20
Resolution will be based on LMSYS Arena Leaderboard. If it stop to exist, then I will choose some other benchmarks
For example, 2023 EOY would resolve to Mistral-50, Yi-30, Meta-20
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will have the highest ranking model on web.lmarena.ai by EOY 2025?
Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?
26% chance
Will top open-weight LLMs in 2025 reason opaquely?
29% chance
Thinking Machines releases an LLM by EOY 2025?
33% chance
Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?
60% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
OpenAI to release model weights by EOY?
83% chance
Which company's model will capture the largest share of the enterprise LLM market by EOY 2025?
Will Lmarena be a relevant benchmark at EOY 2025?
79% chance
What will Manifolders mostly use LLMs for, by EOY 2025?