I was browsing Twitter, and I saw a post by Karpathy positively talking about ChatBot Arena, which is a platform for ranking LLMs based on human ratings. I wonder which company will be #1 with the highest ELO rating at the end of 2025.
/Soli/who-will-have-the-best-llm-by-end-o
Update 2025-08-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will use ChatBot Arena's default settings at market close.
If options like style control or other toggles exist, their default state at the time of closing will be used.
The winner is the model/company ranked #1 by ELO under those default settings at close.
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@Sss19971997 will add answers later but for now letβs keep it at other and only add companies that actually have a realistic chance
@Sss19971997 The other is at 3% right now and covers these options and more. It would make sense to separate if other was a bit higher π
@Soli FWIW, I rarely bet on "Other" because I'm afraid that my Mana will be broken out of the Other into new answers that I don't believe in.
I still believe your reasoning is correct, and that it makes sense that you don't need to add new answers. But I think th straightforward numerical breakdown of the number is not representative of the actual probabilities, at least for me.