Elon Musk has expressed intention to create a new political party

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1930685402631053403?s=46&t=mr67c6cgUP2ic11sukpB0g

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially establishes a new political party in the United States by December 31, 2025. For the purpose of this market, a political party is defined an organization that coordinates candidates to compete in American elections and doesn’t require governmental recognition.

• Update 2025-06-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The criterion 'Elon Musk officially establishes a new political party' will be met if Elon Musk is an official founding member of such a party, even if he is not the sole or primary person responsible for its establishment.

• Update 2025-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market may resolve to Yes even if the entity does not coordinate candidates for any elections, as long as it is widely recognized as a political party.

• Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In ambiguous cases, the distinction between a 'political party' and an 'organization' will be determined by media consensus.