MANIFOLD
Will I hit 1 million mana by the end of February?
9
Ṁ100Ṁ190
Feb 28
36%
chance

Net worth of this account, at any point (excluding bugs). You are welcome to send me mana to help but I won’t send it back (this is not a shenanigans market).

I don’t plan to manually pilfer my bot net worth to get there, but they’ll continue to send me mana automatically as usual.

January: /Sketchy/will-i-hit-1-million-mana-by-the-en

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bought Ṁ20 NO

btw i noticed your bot stays around 2000 mana balance, and my sense is that this seems low? aren't you leaving some alpha on the table by not being more bold? maybe you aren't idrk what I'm talking about tbh

@Bayesian whenever it gets over 3k, it sends me enough to bring the balance down to 2500. Empirically this has meant it never or rarely runs out of mana. The bot’s betting behavior is not balance-dependent at all.

It’s possible that some of the parameters are under-aggressive but my last few experiments haven’t yielded obvious improvements and I’ve exhausted my appetite for experimentation for now. But yea raising the balance cap before it sends me Ṁ wouldn’t by itself alter the profit rate

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